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  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Caesars Entertainment (CZR): Betting on the Undervalued Casino Giant

๐Ÿ“ˆ Caesars Entertainment (CZR): Betting on the Undervalued Casino Giant

Wall Streetโ€™s sleeping on a 50% upside opportunity

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This week, weโ€™re turning our attention to Caesars Entertainment (CZR) - a name thatโ€™s been beaten down but has all the ingredients for a powerful rerating.

The stock is trading near support, its digital segment is about to turn profitable, and the market is still too focused on old debt and outdated assumptions.

Letโ€™s break it down.

๐Ÿ” Trade Thesis: CZR - When the House Is Mispriced

Wall Streetโ€™s bearish consensus is missing three big shifts:

  1. US gaming revenue is holding up stronger than expected

  2. Caesars Digital is approaching profitability ahead of schedule

  3. CZR is evolving into an omni-channel machine - and itโ€™s not priced like it

This isnโ€™t just a Las Vegas story. Caesars is diversified across 18 states and multiple verticals - from premium resorts to online gaming and managed properties.

And right now, itโ€™s significantly undervalued on nearly every metric that matters.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Fundamentals: Stronger Than They Look

Caesars has four growth engines:

๐ŸŽฐ Regional Casinos - Stable revenue + margin upside

๐ŸŒ† Las Vegas Strip - Convention-driven upside + strong traffic

๐Ÿ“ฑ Caesars Digital - Fast-growing online betting, near profitability

๐Ÿข Managed Properties - Fee-based cash flow with low overhead

Recent signs of strength:

๐Ÿ”บ Margin Expansion - EBITDA margins improving from cost discipline

๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue Strength - Las Vegas visitation is rising

๐Ÿ’ป Digital Momentum - Expanding reach + cross-platform acquisition

๐Ÿ“‰ Debt Reduction - Progress on deleveraging = stronger balance sheet

๐Ÿงญ Technicals: Signs of a Bottom

๐Ÿ“‰ $CZR ( โ–ฒ 4.92% )  down 33.6% in the past year

๐Ÿ“Š Trading below the 50-day ($27.23) and 200-day ($33.79) moving averages

๐Ÿ“ Support Zone: $24-$25

๐Ÿ†™ Breakout Level: $33.19

๐Ÿ”„ Flat 50-day MA - starting to curl up

Volume is stabilizing. Selling pressure is fading. This could be a bottoming formation.

๐ŸŽฏ Catalysts: What Could Trigger the Move

๐ŸŸข Digital Profitability - A break-even quarter would be a big re-rating moment

๐Ÿ“ˆ Margin Expansion - Operational gains still underappreciated

๐Ÿ’ณ Debt Reduction - Lower interest expense = multiple expansion

๐ŸŽฎ Omni-Channel Strategy - Cross-selling between digital and physical gaining traction

๐Ÿ’ฌ Analyst Upgrades - Bearish coverage could flip if Q3 surprises

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Valuation: Discount to Reality

Caesars is trading like itโ€™s a one-trick casino pony.

But break it into parts, and you see:

๐Ÿงฑ Hard Assets - Strip and regional real estate alone justify a higher valuation

๐Ÿ’ป Digital Arm - Still getting little credit despite huge growth runway

๐Ÿ” Loyalty + Brand - Not reflected in current pricing

๐Ÿ“Š Sum-of-Parts = 40%-60% upside if rerated properly

๐ŸŽฒ The Trade

Stock Purchase

๐ŸŽฏ Buy CZR at $25.94

Options Trade:

๐Ÿ“† Buy Dec 19 $31 Call for ~$2.10

Risk/Reward Profile:

๐Ÿ“ˆ Break-even = $33.10
๐Ÿ’ธ Max Risk = $2.10 per share
๐Ÿš€ Upside at $40 = $6.90 profit (328% return)

Manage risk with position sizing. Let the catalysts play out.

๐Ÿง  Final Thoughts

Wall Street is still stuck in 2022 thinking. Caesars isnโ€™t.

With a digital arm nearing breakeven, a cross-platform strategy working, and margin expansion already underway, this is a company in transition - and the market hasnโ€™t caught on.

Itโ€™s rare to find a casino stock this hated with this much upside.

๐Ÿ’ธ Action Steps

  • Buy CZR stock around $25.94

  • Aggressive accounts: Buy Dec 19 $31 Call for $2.10

Want more trades like this - and weekly options setups with defined risk and institutional edge? Paid subscribers received a DLTR trade idea yesterday and that stock is up 9% today.

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- The Resilient Trader

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