📈 Quest Diagnostics (DGX): Diagnosing a Healthy Upside

Why DGX Is Poised for Growth-Despite the Noise

Regular people are starting to trade like institutional traders-and they’re making a living doing it. But not everyone is successful with their trades. There is a right way and a wrong way. We’re here to help you find vetted trade ideas so you actually make money off your trading.

Every week, we surface vetted setups that institutions are already circling-tailored with strategies for traders like us.

This week’s trade? A healthcare stock that just whiffed a bit on guidance… but we’re buying the small dip.

Resilient Trader

🧠 Trade Thesis: DGX-Strong Vitals, Minor Fever

Quest Diagnostics $DGX ( ▲ 0.46% ) is a core player in U.S. diagnostic services. A $0.10 guidance cut in Q1 2025 spooked some folks-but we see a solid, scalable business with long-term tailwinds and an undervalued chart.

📌 This is a high-conviction long backed by margin strength, market share gains, and healthcare's built-in resilience.

💡 Why We're Long DGX

  • Expanding Market Share in a fragmented diagnostics space

  • Defensive Sector: Stable demand regardless of economic cycles

  • Strong KPIs despite a minor Q1 weather-related hiccup

  • Healthy Margins and solid cash flow

  • Low EV/Sales vs. historical valuation norms

  • Dividend Growth (recently boosted 6.7%) = management confidence

📊 Fundamentals Snapshot

  • Q1 Revenue Up 12% YoY, with ~2.5% organic growth

  • High EBITDA Margins signal pricing power and efficiency

  • Solid Balance Sheet + dividend = long-term strength

  • Healthcare Tailwinds: Aging population, preventative care, and precision medicine are secular growth trends

DGX isn't a flashy name. It's just a profitable, well-run company in a sector that rarely goes out of style.

⚖️ Valuation: Still Undervalued

  • Low EV/Sales = market is mispricing the upside

  • Stock insights tools show DGX trading at a 20–26% discount

  • Analyst targets lean bullish (some $190+), and with momentum, a re-rating is possible

📈 Technicals: Building a Base for Breakout

  • Current Price (May 12, 2025): $173.44

  • Above 20-week and 50-week SMAs

  • Golden Cross on Weekly Chart (20-week SMA > 50-week) = bullish momentum forming

  • Long Term Support: $163.00

  • Resistance: $180.00

  • Price Targets:

    • 🎯 First Target: $190

    • 🚀 Stretch Target: $220–230

💥 Trade of the Week: Buy Stock + Sell Puts

Here’s how we’re playing the upside:

✅ Buy the Stock

  • Entry: $173.44

  • Upside: Unlimited

  • Risk: Downside managed via optional stop-loss (suggested below $150 or by trailing)

💸 Sell Puts for Premium (Cash-Secured

  • Sell June $165 Put for ~$1.75

  • If DGX stays above $165, you keep the premium.

  • If it drops, you’re assigned at a net price of $163.25-a level we’re happy to own at.

🧠 Advanced Move: Continue selling ~30 delta monthly puts while DGX trends toward $190+. It’s income while you wait.

🚀 Catalysts We’re Watching

  1. Earnings Beats + upward guidance revisions

  2. New diagnostic products or strategic partnerships

  3. Reimbursement/Policy Wins boosting sector outlook

  4. Bullish Analyst Revisions

  5. M&A headlines or new acquisitions

  6. Technical breakout above $190

🛑 Risk Management Tip

Put Sellers: Be comfortable owning at your strike - or roll down/out if the chart deteriorates

🧠 Final Thoughts

DGX isn’t exciting-but boring can be beautiful. While some traders chase high-volatility names, we’re after high-probability setups.

Quest Diagnostics offers a steady path to upside-with the balance sheet, margins, and macro trends to back it.

When the market misprices quality, we step in.

💸 Action Plan:

  • Buy DGX around $173

  • Sell the June $165 Puts

  • Rinse and repeat monthly with 30 delta puts while riding it up

Want trade ideas like this every week-plus strategic options plays and institutional-grade setups?

Stay Liquid,
- The Resilient Trader

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