Resilient Trader is where smart traders come for vetted ideas.

Every week, we cut through the noise and surface opportunities that institutions are already eyeing - but with strategies tailored for retail traders. Today’s setup? A fast-food giant trading at a discount with multiple upside catalysts.

We’ll cover:

✅ Why QSR is a BUY at current levels
📈 How to take advantage with defined risk through options

🔍 Trade Thesis: QSR Is Serving Up Value With Serious Upside Potential

Restaurant Brands International (QSR) - parent of Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs - is down over 10% in the past 5 days while the S&P 500 is also down just 9%. We think this underperformance creates a value entry point.

Here’s what stands out:

🚨 Valuation discount: Just 17x earnings vs. peers at 25-29x

📈 Analyst target: 25% upside to $77.53

💰 Dividend yield: 3.90% - nearly double McDonald’s

📊 The Fundamentals Are Stronger Than The Stock Price Suggests

💰 Revenue: $8.41B, up 26.2% YoY

📈 System-wide sales growth: 5.6% (Q4), 5.4% (2024 outlook)

📦 Restaurant count: 31,525 globally, growing 3.8% YoY

🛠️ Brands: Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes, Firehouse Subs

🧮 Operating Margin: 24.30% - strong, stable cash generator

📐 Valuation Is Too Low to Ignore

QSR is trading like a struggling chain - but the data tells a different story.

⚖️ P/E Ratio: 17x vs. YUM at 25x and MCD at 26x

🏷️ Forward P/E: 12.05 (vs. current 19.99) - implied earnings growth ahead

📈 5-Year Avg P/E: 24.5x - big room for multiple expansion

🧭 Technicals Suggest a Reversal Is Brewing

❌ Below key moving averages: 50-day at $65.35, 200-day at $68.14

❌ Near 52-week low: $59.67 - limited downside from here

❌ Institutional ownership: High conviction at 86.25%

✅ Current Price: $59.32

🎯 Targets: $77.53 (consensus), $93.00 (bull case)

💥 Trade of the Week: Defined Risk, Leveraged Upside

Now you can just buy the stock here if options is out of your realm.

✅ Buy QSR at $59.32 (at the time of this writing)

We’re playing QSR with a bullish options strategy that caps risk while giving us exposure to upside.

📌 Strategy: Buy the January 16th, 2026 $65 Call for $4.70

📉 Max Risk: Limited to $4.70 per contract
📈 Upside: Significant if QSR re-rates to peer valuation

This setup gives you time, leverage, and control - ideal for patient bulls.

🚀 Catalysts On The Horizon

Keep your eyes on:

1. Burger King Turnaround: $3B investment beginning to pay off

2. Tim Hortons Strategy Shift: Potential spinout or asset optimization

3. Easier Comparables: 2024 should see improving YoY metrics

4. International Growth: Global runway for Tim Hortons and Popeyes

5. Valuation Re-Rating: Room for P/E to climb toward 5-year average

🛑 Risk Management Tip

📍 Set a stop-loss at $59 - right near the 52-week low - to manage risk while letting the trade breathe.

🧠 Final Thoughts

QSR is a classic value play in a strong consumer-facing sector.

Its discounted valuation, global footprint, and cash-generating brands create an attractive backdrop for patient traders.

🔑 The options trade adds asymmetric upside with a defined risk profile.

✅ Buy QSR at $62.01
💰 Buy Jan 16 $65 call for $4.70

We’ll be watching this one closely.

Want more trade ideas like this - plus weekly options plays and deep-dive breakdowns?

👉 Join the Paid Resilient Trader Newsletter

For more in-depth trading strategies and market insights, upgrade to the paid version of our newsletter.

Stay liquid my friends…,
- The Resilient Trader